After declining for eight successive weeks, the Dow Jones Industrial Average rebounded sharply last week to finish higher by 6.2%. However, Bitcoin (BTC) has not been able to replicate the performance of the United States equities markets and is threatening to paint a red candle for the ninth week in a row.
A positive sign is that Bitcoin whales have been buying the market correction. Glassnode data shows that the number of Bitcoin whale wallets with a balance of 10,000 Bitcoin or more has risen to its highest level since February 2021. The accumulation in the whale wallets suggests that their long-term view for Bitcoin remains bullish.
Blockware Solutions highlighted that the Mayer Multiple metric which compares the 200-day simple moving average with the current price was languishing “near some of the lowest readings on record.” The firm said a few other indicators also suggest that Bitcoin is attempting to form a bottom.
If Bitcoin starts a recovery in the short term, certain altcoins are likely to follow it higher. Let’s study the charts of the top-5 cryptocurrencies that may lead the relief rally.
BTC/USDT
Bitcoin remains stuck inside a tight range between the downtrend line and the support at $28,630. The bears pulled the price below $28,630 on May 26 and May 27 but could not sustain the lower levels. This resulted in a rebound on May 28.
The bulls will now try to push the price above the downtrend line and challenge the 20-day exponential moving average ($30,538). If they succeed, the BTC/USDT pair could pick up momentum and the rally could reach the 50-day SMA ($35,181).
The positive divergence on the relative strength index (RSI) suggests that the bearish momentum could be weakening and a rally may be around the corner.
On the other hand, if the price turns down from the overhead resistance, the bears will again try to pull the pair below $28,630. If they manage to do that, the pair will complete a bearish descending triangle pattern, which has a target objective at $24,601.
The 20-EMA and the 50-SMA on the 4-hour chart have flattened out and the RSI is just above the midpoint, suggesting a balance between supply and demand.
If bulls drive the price above the downtrend line, the negative descending triangle pattern will be negated. That could result in a short squeeze as the short-term bears may close their positions. That could clear the path for a possible rally to the 200-SMA.
Conversely, the bears will come out on top if the price turns down and plummets below $28,630. That could result in a retest of the crucial support at $26,700.
ETH/USDT
Ethereum (ETH) has been in a downtrend but the bulls are attempting to stall the decline at the crucial support of $1,700. The price rebounded off this support on May 28 and the bulls are attempting to build on the recovery on May 29.
The RSI is forming a bullish divergence, indicating that the downtrend may be weakening. If bulls push the price above the 20-day EMA ($2,036), the ETH/USDT pair could rise to the overhead resistance at $2,159. The bears are expected to defend this level aggressively. If the price turns down from this resistance, the pair may remain range-bound between $2,159 and $1,700 for a few days.
On the other hand, if the price turns down from the current level or the 20-day EMA, the bears will again attempt to sink the pair below $1,700. If they succeed, the pair may resume its downtrend with the next major support at $1,300.
The bounce off the $1,700 support has reached the 20-EMA where the bears may mount a strong defense. If the price turns down from this level, it could enhance the prospects of a break below $1,700. If that happens, the downtrend may resume.
Conversely, if bulls push the price above the 20-EMA, the pair may rise to the 50-SMA. This…
Read More: cointelegraph.com