Bitcoin (BTC) has made a strong comeback in the month of July and is on track for its best monthly gains since October 2021. The sharp recovery in Bitcoin and several altcoins pushed the Crypto Fear and Greed Index to 42/100 on July 30, its highest level since April 6.
Investors seem to be making the most of the depressed levels in Bitcoin. Data from on-chain analytics firm Glassnode shows that Bitcoin in exchange wallets has dropped to 2.4 million Bitcoin in July, down from the March 2020 levels of 3.15 million Bitcoin. This has sent the metric to its lowest level since July 2018.
Bloomberg Intelligence senior commodity strategist Mike McGlone highlighted that the United States Federal Reserve’s indication to consider rate hikes on a “meeting by meeting basis” may lay the groundwork for Bitcoin to outperform most assets. He said that Bitcoin’s “risk vs. reward tilted favorably for one of the greatest bull markets in history.”
Could Bitcoin extend its rally in the short term and could that trigger buying in select altcoins? Let’s study the charts of the top-5 cryptocurrencies that may outperform in the near term.
BTC/USDT
Attempts by the bulls to sustain the price above $24,276 have failed in the past two days, indicating that the bears are defending the level with vigor. However, a minor positive is that the bulls have not ceded ground to the bears.
This indicates that the bulls are not booking profits in a hurry as they expect a break above the overhead resistance. If the price breaks and closes above $24,276, the BTC/USDT pair could pick up momentum and rally toward $28,171. This level may act as a resistance but if bulls overcome the barrier, the next stop could be $32,000.
The upsloping 20-day exponential moving average ($22,480) and the relative strength index (RSI) in the positive territory indicate that bulls have the upper hand.
To invalidate this bullish view in the short term, the bears will have to sink the price below the 20-day EMA. That could clear the path for a possible drop to the 50-day simple moving average ($21,386) and then to the support line. A break below this level will suggest that bears are back in command.
The 4-hour chart shows that bulls pushed the price above the overhead resistance of $24,276 but could not build upon the breakout. The bears pulled the price back below the level but are struggling to sink the pair below the 20-EMA. This indicates that bulls are buying on dips.
If the price rebounds off the current level, the bulls will have another shot at the overhead zone between $24,276 and $24,668. If this zone is scaled, the bullish momentum could pick up further. Conversely, if bears sink the price below the 20-EMA, the pair could drop to the 50-SMA.
BNB/USDT
Binance Coin (BNB) broke above the downtrend line on July 28, indicating a potential trend change. The up-move is facing resistance near the psychological level of $300 but a positive sign is that the buyers have not given up much ground. This suggests that the bulls are not hurrying to book profits.
The upsloping 20-day EMA ($263) and the RSI in the positive territory indicate that the path of least resistance is to the upside. If buyers drive the price above $300, the BNB/USDT pair could resume its uptrend toward the overhead resistance at $350.
Alternatively, if the price turns down and breaks below $285, the pair could drop to the downtrend line. The 20-day EMA is placed close to this level, hence it becomes an important support to keep an eye on. If bears sink the price below the 20-day EMA, the pair could decline to the 50-day SMA ($239).
The pair turned down from the overhead resistance at $300 but the bulls are attempting to defend the 20-EMA. This indicates buying on dips. The bulls may again attempt to push the…
Read More: cointelegraph.com