Lots of interesting chat in comments and on social media for my post about Meta CTO Andrew Bosworth heatedly insisting to me โ โDude just take the Lโโ that the company was still focused on the Metaverse despite not mentioning it in his latest โvision of the future postโ.
Rony Abovitz, founder and former CEO of the heavily-funded AR company Magic Leap โ he hired literal Neal Stephenson as the companyโs chief futurist โ thinks any current reluctance by Meta to mention โthe Metaverseโ too much now is basically about current perceptions with the investment world:
They realize that their version of โmetaverseโ is tainted with respect to Wall Street. They will build whatever they want to build โ and either name it something else or not even name it all (except for the pesky fact that the whole shebang is called โMetaโ). It is a perception gameโฆ
โ Rony Abovitz (@rabovitz) April 28, 2023
โThey realize that their version of โmetaverseโ is tainted with respect to Wall Street,โ as he put it to me. โThey will build whatever they want to build โ and either name it something else or not even name it all (except for the pesky fact that the whole shebang is called โMetaโ). It is a perception game.โ
Given Abovitzโs background, I tend to think thatโs plausible. And as it happens, a Meta insider recently told me almost the exact same thing:
โI donโt believe Wall Street wants Meta to be investing giant sums in technology that wonโt be in products for 5-10 years,โ as they put it to me.
On a related note, longtime reader Joey1058 had a similar speculation:
I have a left field opinion, which is unprovable. My take is that Meta did a few of its surveys amongst its regular large advertisers. Most answering that it didnโt see a profit in scaling its ads within Metaโs vision of the โverse. Advertising on a forums platform like Facebook is relatively affordable since itโs a shotgun approach. The more ads you try to get in a room full of avatars will only chase them away. A few billboard ads that scroll isnโt popular either, as the advertisers will have to wait in turn for their ad to scroll in before they can count numbers. I think Meta is letting the pot simmer until they figure out the next ingredient.
This also sounds plausible, especially since Bosworth actually has no prior metaverse-related experience, but did lead Meta/Facebookโs mobile advertising efforts for many years. So heโs extremely well-positioned to have Metaโs very top advertisers tell him to his face that they donโt get โthis metaverse stuffโ as an advertising platform, especially compared to hyper-targeted Facebook ads which work extremely well.
Iโm told that we should expect to see some major updates to Horizon, Metaโs metaverse platform, very soon, so perhaps thatโs the โnext ingredientโ, especially as theyโre more directly relevant to Metaโs advertising revenue.
All that to one side, it remains a mystery why Meta invested so much of its focus on a metaverse vision that was so ill-defined that a majority of its own employees now believe Zuckerberg hasnโt explained it clearly to them. (Someone should write a book about that!) I guess the good news is both Zuckerberg and Boz are now insisting Meta is still dedicated to the Metaverse โ even to the point of telling random metaverse writers to take the L.
Read More: nwn.blogs.com